Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.282644 2.490550 2.713019 2.969473 3.257799 3.572923 3.944712
2025-11-23 1.973923 2.255223 2.574687 2.966917 3.439019 3.993402 4.700278
2025-11-30 1.815387 2.146096 2.538814 3.044918 3.687719 4.487743 5.576176
2025-12-07 1.657272 2.010614 2.444807 3.025935 3.796315 4.801609 6.245465
2025-12-14 1.526067 1.891228 2.352813 2.990531 3.867376 5.059642 6.856430
2025-12-21 1.389340 1.751076 2.218765 2.881707 3.820915 5.142424 7.216882
2025-12-28 1.316631 1.687652 2.178351 2.892281 3.935337 5.456318 7.949619
2026-01-04 1.261456 1.642544 2.157385 2.925171 4.080517 5.824800 8.809569
2026-01-11 1.214544 1.604666 2.142251 2.962808 4.232761 6.215469 9.754422
2026-01-18 1.170459 1.567241 2.124079 2.992624 4.372891 6.597907 10.735395
2026-01-25 1.123487 1.522394 2.091448 2.996577 4.470150 6.916886 11.645180
2026-02-01 1.062011 1.452867 2.017800 2.930685 4.446439 7.025305 12.171929
2026-02-08 1.011799 1.398193 1.964504 2.895197 4.473646 7.231364 12.933913
2026-02-15 0.971203 1.355694 1.927147 2.882465 4.538115 7.510924 13.891112
2026-02-22 0.954269 1.347725 1.942098 2.955842 4.758367 8.102809 15.613571
2026-03-01 0.917740 1.307706 1.904169 2.937269 4.811098 8.378493 16.685207
2026-03-08 0.880572 1.264826 1.859180 2.903135 4.831439 8.590966 17.647369
2026-03-15 0.831192 1.200631 1.776601 2.798338 4.710238 8.502052 17.864464
2026-03-22 0.808560 1.177723 1.760064 2.808520 4.809076 8.880999 19.323790
2026-03-29 0.791548 1.162921 1.755924 2.840194 4.951958 9.370350 21.175450
2026-04-05 0.776350 1.150273 1.754540 2.876435 5.106681 9.904612 23.274308
2026-04-12 0.760597 1.135947 1.749432 2.905141 5.248185 10.426627 25.467827
2026-04-19 0.741352 1.114995 1.731826 2.908946 5.337686 10.837958 27.434081